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BUSINESS AVIATION & THE BOARDROOM - Letters (September 2011)

Thank you, Mr. Agur, for a great article (Business Aviation Safety, July 2011). Would you please provide additional information on advanced application of predictive safety metrics, including when your new study with Business Aviation departments will be complete, and whether the results will be readily available.

AvBuyer   |   1st January 2011
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DEVELOPMENTS IN BUSINESS AVIATION SAFETY
Thank you, Mr. Agur, for a great article (Business Aviation Safety, July 2011). Would you please provide additional information on advanced application of predictive safety metrics, including when your new study with Business Aviation departments will be complete, and whether the results will be readily available.

- Grant Stephens


PETE AGUR RESPONDS:
The aviation industry is going through a revolutionary change in the way we view safety. From 1908 until about 15 years ago the metrics and focus of safety management was on historic events and “preventing” accidents. In short, safety management was “reactive”. With the development and evolution of Safety Management Systems (SMS), based on quality management concepts like Six Sigma, the management and metrics of safety shifted to the three-step process of risk identification, risk assessment and risk mitigation. This is a “proactive” process.

A weakness in SMS is that it is predominantly a pre-flight process. It is not real time nor is it accurately or comprehensively predictive. As the current first generation of Flight Risk Assessment Tool (FRAT) software matures the scope and predictive competence of Risk Assessment will be much more effective and easier to use.

The study our firm is currently conducting with 13 major Business Aviation departments, domestic and international, is designed to accelerate the FRAT’s evolution. We intend to present the results of our study next Spring to the Flight Safety Foundation’s Corporate Aviation Safety Seminar. I look forward to sharing our findings then.

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